Development Finance · Climate · Capital Adequacy

Quantitative risk analytics for institutions the market overlooks.

Phoenicia Consulting delivers specialist advisory and purpose-built risk models to development finance institutions, UK banks, and institutional investors — built on methodology proven across public-sector and multilateral portfolios at scale.

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What we do

Three specialisms, one standard of rigour

Every engagement combines peer-reviewed methodology with calibration drawn from real government and multilateral portfolios.

Development Finance

DFI Economic Capital

Economic capital models calibrated for development portfolios — preferred-creditor adjustments, sovereign risk overlays, and Basel-aligned methodology.

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Climate & Regulation

Climate Risk ICAAP

PRA SS5/25-compliant climate scenario analysis: NGFS pathways, transition and physical risk quantification, and gap analysis with remediation planning.

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Data & Validation

Synthetic Data Analytics

Privacy-preserving synthetic data for model validation, stress testing, and cross-institution benchmarking — without exposing sensitive portfolios.

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The product line

Dr RisQuant: where risk meets rigour

Production-grade analysis that development finance institutions and challenger banks need but cannot find in commercial software. Try a model live in your browser — then send us your book.

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DFI Economic Capital Assessment

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Three-engine architecture (Basel IRB · CreditRisk+ · Monte Carlo) with preferred-creditor adjustment.

Climate Risk ICAAP Assessment

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25 mapped PRA SS5/25 requirements with an NGFS scenario engine and physical/transition modules.

Synthetic Data Service

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Gaussian copula and block bootstrap generators with a full validation and privacy suite.

Sectors & disciplines we work across

UK public finance & HM Government Export credit & development finance Regulatory & central-bank research Private credit & institutional investment Peer-reviewed quantitative research

Methodology proven across public-sector and multilateral portfolios at scale — translated into models institutions can deploy.

Beyond the toolkits

Model development & governance advisory

Bespoke model build, validation, and governance across the full risk stack — drawing on board-level and regulatory experience.

ERM

Enterprise Risk

Risk appetite, taxonomy, aggregation, three-lines, board reporting.

Credit

Credit Risk

PD/LGD/EAD, IRB, IFRS 9 ECL, rating systems, concentration.

Market & Liquidity

Market / ALM

VaR, IRRBB (EVE/NII), FTP, LCR/NSFR, ALM governance.

Capital

ICAAP / EC

ICAAP/ILAAP, Pillar 2A, economic capital, reverse stress testing.

Insight

From the blog

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Ready to quantify your risk?

Whether you need a bespoke economic capital model, a climate risk assessment, or a synthetic data solution, we start with a complimentary 30-minute consultation.

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